Affichage des articles dont le libellé est Finance. Afficher tous les articles
Affichage des articles dont le libellé est Finance. Afficher tous les articles

dimanche 27 mars 2016

10 THINGS EVERY INVESTING NEWBIE SHOULD KNOW

10. THINGS EVERY INVESTING NEWBIE SHOULD KNOW

Is there any better way to get pumped up on a Monday morning than reading about investing principles? Joanna just told me that “every imaginable way” is better. She also just told me that it’s sentences like the one I just wrote that keep me from having any friends. My 650 Facebook friends say otherwise, so I’ll proceed with my post.
There was a fun (sorry, Joanna) interesting article I read on The Motley Fool titled 122 Things Everyone Should Know About Investing. It’s a good list of quotes, tips, and insights on things every finance newbie (us) and oldie should know about investing. I’ve narrowed the list down to my 10 favorites with my two cents added.
#10 – Only 7% of Americans know stocks rose 32% last year, according to Gallup. One-third believe the market either fell or stayed the same. Everyone is aware when markets fall; bull markets can go unnoticed.

The markets are kind of like football kickers — you never really know their name unless they mess up. Despite the doom and gloom you’ll hear on the radio, TV, and your drunk uncle at family reunions, most don’t know what’s going on.
#13 – Investor Ralph Wagoner once explained how markets work, recalled by Bill Bernstein: “He likens the market to an excitable dog on a very long leash in New York City, darting randomly in every direction. The dog’s owner is walking from Columbus Circle, through Central Park, to the Metropolitan Museum. At any one moment, there is no predicting which way the pooch will lurch. But in the long run, you know he’s heading northeast at an average speed of three miles per hour. What is astonishing is that almost all of the market players, big and small, seem to have their eye on the dog, and not the owner.”

I like to replace “excitable dog” with “Sally” and then this quote makes perfect sense. It’s hard for anyone within a 200-ft. radius to do anything BUT pay attention to Sally because of her superhuman vocal cords and speed when fleeing our grasp, but somehow we always make it to our destination. Don’t doubt mom and dad (or the long-term markets) — and a lollipop reward.
#28 – According to Vanguard, 72% of mutual funds benchmarked to the S&P 500 underperformed the index over a 20-year period ending in 2010. The phrase “professional investor” is a loose one.
Index funds, index funds, index funds! We’ve got a post coming up in a few weeks that will better explain this, but just know that index funds not only beat the majority of mutual funds — they also have wayyy lower fees. And that means more money in your pocket.
#32 – “The big money is not in the buying or the selling, but in the sitting,” said Jesse Livermore.
Patience, grasshopper. This ain’t no sprint. Timing of when you buy or sell is less important than the amount of time you keep that money marinating in the markets.
#40 – Since 1871, the market has spent 40% of all years either rising or falling more than 20%. Roaring booms and crushing busts are perfectly normal.
If you’ve got your money locked up in the market for retirement for the next 30 years, buckle up for a roller coaster. Keep calm and invest on.
#46 – The most boring companies — toothpaste, food, bolts — can make some of the best long-term investments. The most innovative, some of the worst.
“There’s this killer new website called ‘MySpace.’ And I’m going to invest our nest-egg on them.” Shoulda gone with Colgate.
#47 – In a 2011 Gallup poll, 34% of Americans said gold was the best long-term investment, while 17% said stocks. Since then, stocks are up 87%, gold is down 35%.
You know that Facebook friend that listens to talk radio all day and thinks they’re smarter because of it? Yeah, never listen to his advice. The point of this isn’t that gold is a bad investment — it’s that the general public (and especially talk radio ads) offers terrible investment advice.
#95 – However much money you think you’ll need for retirement, double it. Now you’re closer to reality.

Gulp. When we calculate how much we’ll need in retirement, a lot of us don’t factor in inflation and other unexpected expenses in 30 years. Doubling your retirement number isn’t necessarily the takeaway here. But whatever you do, be realistic, overestimate your future needs, and start saving for retirement NOW.
#105 – The Congressional Budget Office’s 2003 prediction of federal debt in the year 2013 was off by $10 trillion. Forecasting is hard. But we still line up for it.
And you thought your budget projections were bad?
#110 – The single most important investment question you need to ask yourself is, “How long am I investing for?” How you answer it can change your perspective on everything.
Your 10-year investment portfolio should probably look a lot different than your 30-year retirement portfolio. The biggest factor is your exposure to risk. The shorter the amount of time you’re investing, the less risk you should expose your money to, and vice versa (more time, more risk).


samedi 19 mars 2016

Canada's Fastest-Growing Real Estate Markets

Canada's Fastest-Growing Real Estate Markets

Who's ready for some March Madness, Canadian Real Estate Edition?

It's mid-March, and spring begins this weekend -- signalling what is traditionally the busy season in real estate.
The madness in Canadian real estate hit a new peak this week when the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) released its stats for February -- noting that the national average price exceeded $500,000 for the first time. In February, the average price jumped 16.4 per cent year-over-year to $503,057.

So, in the spirit of the NCAA March Madness basketball tournament, YPNextHome put together our own bracket of championship housing markets across Canada.

We paired the top proximate markets across the country, using official CREA average price growth as the deciding factor. We chose a four-year window, from 2012 to end of 2015, to provide a longer-term, bigger picture context of market performance.

It's East versus West, as city market takes on city market to determine the eventual Canadian slam-dunk champion.


Spoiler alert: it's not Toronto or Vancouver.

Why did we use a four-year window?
Because we thought it would provide a more accurate picture of a real estate market over the long term. There's no secret, for example, that areas such as Calgary and Edmonton are getting hammered due to the prolonged slump in oil prices.

In Calgary, for example, home prices declined by 3.5 per cent in February on a year-over-year basis. Ouch. But looking at it over the last four years, the average price has actually risen 10 per cent. Not bad, eh?

Real estate is local
Forget that CREA says the national average price exceeded $500,000 -- climbing to $503,057 -- for the first time. Sure, it makes for interesting headlines and provides some context on a national basis.

But as Toronto-based mortgage expert Calum Ross says: "Saying there is a Canadian housing market is no less ridiculous than saying there is 'Canadian temperature.'"

Or that traffic at one end of the country is the same at the other.

"Canada represents one of single largest countries in the world and going from coast to coast, Canada is home to a very diverse group of people with local economics that are vastly different," he says.

Real estate is local, not national. You don't buy the Canadian market, or even a provincial or regional one. You buy one home in one location.

If you're buying a home in Chilliwack, B.C., where the average price is $336,000, or Yarmouth, N.S., where the average price is $125,066 -- what do you care what the national average price is?

The fact is, the national average price is heavily skewed by Vancouver and Toronto, as Canada's most active and expensive housing markets. If these two are excluded from calculations, CREA says, the average is a more modest $355,235, and the year-over-year gain is just 8.7 per cent.

How did we select which markets face which markets?
How did we "seed" the markets, using March Madness parlance? Initially, geography.

Since real estate is local, market performance is most influenced by the economic fundamentals on a provincial, regional and municipal basis. For example, Guelph would naturally take on Cambridge, since these two markets are barely 23 kilometres apart, and therefore are subject to similar challenges and opportunities in that area.

While geography was the key determining factor for which cities face off in the first round, we had to make a handful of exceptions. For example, the 32 city markets in the first round for eastern Canada were all located in Ontario, with the exception of one maritime city, Yarmouth, N.S. To help compensate for the large geographical distance, we paired Yarmouth with one of the Ontario cities located farthest east. And while this still doesn't necessarily make them fair opponents, it wouldn't be March Madness without a little controversy.

As certain cities failed to make it past the first round, proximity became less prevalent, and opposing cities advanced to the next round based on which market had a higher increase in home price growth over the last four years.

And finally...
Apologies to Quebec. CREA doesn't collect the same detailed data on this market.


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